Tuesday, December 15, 2009

The Center of the Stock Market Universe... Revealed!

Dear Investment U Reader,
[Robert Williams, Publisher, Investment U]
Robert Williams
Publisher

I'm actually quite sick of the BRIC acronym. But at least the "B" is in the right place: First!

Brazilian stocks, as measured by the iShares Brazil Index ETF (NYSE: EWJ) are up 96%, year to date.

That's right. In a year that began with financial Armageddon, Brazilian stocks were barely stymied, paving the way for the huge move in the middle to latter part of the year.

(For comparison's sake, China, using the iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index ETF (NYSE: FXI) as a proxy, has returned just 46%.)

So given that this is forecast week, I'm going to double-down on Brazil in the coming year.

Fact is, the money flowing into Brazilian corporate bonds, which is fueling the economic boom there, is astonishing. Real-denominated corporate bonds totaled $19.5 billion in the first 11 months of this year, versus only $8.9 billion in the same year-ago period.

And 2010 will likely be another banner year, as the quality of the issuers - the corporations - increases.

Even better, the state-run bank, BNDES, is providing liquidity (about $5.7 billion's worth) for a secondary market for trading the bonds.

Bottom line, I'm a sucker for a developing nation undergoing such a robust capital market expansion. (Brazil's international reserves have surged to a near record $238 billion from $206 billion a year ago, as foreign investment in the nation's capital markets increased.)

But don't take my word alone for it. Below, Karim Rahemtulla gives his outlook (and ways to profit) on Brazil, along with the rest of the BRICs.

Ahead of the tape,

Robert Williams, Publisher, Investment U
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2 comments:

  1. I've sold my EWZ (error in EWJ which is Japan) too early. FXI requires some market timing.

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  2. Both have negative earnings. Not a value play.

    ReplyDelete